The Allergy Epidemic: Why Have Allergies and Asthma Increased?

Last updated
April 15, 2025

The dramatic rise in allergic conditions over recent decades represents one of the most significant shifts in public health patterns in developed countries. In the United Kingdom alone, the prevalence of common allergic diseases has tripled in the last twenty years, reaching some of the highest rates worldwide. This surge has left parents, doctors, and researchers asking: what's behind this remarkable increase?

The Scale of the Increase

The statistics paint a striking picture of how allergic conditions have become increasingly common:

     
  • Asthma affects approximately 20% of schoolchildren in the UK
  • Allergic rhinitis and conjunctivitis (hay fever) affects about 15% of children
  • Eczema (atopic dermatitis) affects 10-16% of children
  • Food allergies affect 6-8% of children

Perhaps most alarming has been the rise in peanut allergy, which now affects approximately 1 in 50 UK schoolchildren (1.8% prevalence). Similar trends have been observed in other developed countries, including the United States, Canada, and Australia.

This increase cannot be explained by improved diagnosis or awareness alone. Research comparing populations over time using consistent diagnostic criteria confirms a genuine increase in these conditions.

Leading Theories: Why Are Allergies Increasing?

Multiple theories have emerged to explain this surge in allergic diseases. Each theory has supporting evidence, and the reality likely involves multiple interacting factors rather than a single cause.

The Hygiene Hypothesis: Too Clean for Our Own Good?

One of the most widely discussed theories is the hygiene hypothesis, first proposed in 1989. This theory suggests that reduced exposure to certain infections and microbes during early childhood affects immune system development, potentially increasing susceptibility to allergic reactions.

Several observations support this theory:

     
  • Children with older siblings have lower rates of allergies, possibly due to increased exposure to infections
  • Farm-raised children have significantly lower rates of asthma and allergies compared to their urban counterparts
  • Countries with higher rates of parasitic infections typically have lower allergy rates
  • The rise in allergies has coincided with improved sanitation and reduced infectious disease

The modern immune system, particularly in developed countries, may receive insufficient microbial "training" during critical developmental windows, leaving it more prone to inappropriate reactions against harmless substances like pollen or food proteins.

The Microbiome Connection: Our Inner Ecosystem

Building on the hygiene hypothesis, research now focuses on the gut microbiome – the trillions of bacteria colonising our digestive systems. These microorganisms play crucial roles in educating our immune system.

Several factors affecting the microbiome have been associated with increased allergy risk:

     
  • Caesarean section delivery (bypassing exposure to maternal vaginal bacteria)
  • Antibiotic use, especially during early life
  • Reduced breastfeeding duration
  • Western-style diets low in fibre and high in processed foods

Studies show that children who develop allergies often have different gut bacterial compositions than non-allergic children, even before allergy symptoms appear. This suggests that a healthy, diverse microbiome may help protect against allergic conditions.

Dietary Factors: Changes in What We Eat

Dramatic shifts in food consumption patterns over recent decades may contribute to rising allergy rates:

Vitamin D: Too Much or Too Little?

Seemingly contradictory evidence exists regarding vitamin D's role. Some research suggests vitamin D deficiency increases allergy risk, while other studies implicate excessive supplementation. The relationship may be U-shaped, with both low and high levels potentially problematic.

In the UK, where sunlight exposure is limited during winter months, vitamin D deficiency is common. Simultaneously, vitamin D supplementation has increased, creating a complex picture requiring further research.

Antioxidant Consumption

The reduced consumption of fresh fruits and vegetables in Western diets has decreased intake of natural antioxidants. These compounds help regulate immune responses and reduce inflammation.

Studies show that children consuming diets rich in fresh produce have lower rates of asthma and other allergic conditions.

Changing Fat Consumption Patterns

The "dietary fat hypothesis" points to shifting consumption patterns:

     
  • Decreased consumption of animal fats
  • Increased use of vegetable oils rich in omega-6 fatty acids
  • Reduced consumption of omega-3 fatty acids from fish

These changes may promote pro-inflammatory states that increase susceptibility to allergic responses. The ratio of omega-6 to omega-3 fatty acids in Western diets has increased significantly, potentially contributing to increased inflammation.

Food Introduction Timing: When to Introduce Allergenic Foods?

The timing of introducing potential allergens into an infant's diet has been a subject of intense research, with significant shifts in recommendations over time.

Evolving Recommendations

For decades, parents were advised to avoid introducing common allergenic foods (such as peanuts, eggs, and milk) until children were older—often 1-3 years of age. This guidance was based on the theory that delaying the introduction of allergens would reduce the risk of developing food allergies.

However, this approach coincided with increasing food allergy rates, raising questions about its effectiveness. Recent groundbreaking research has fundamentally changed our understanding.

The LEAP Study: A Paradigm Shift

Professor Gideon Lack's Learning Early About Peanut Allergy (LEAP) study, conducted at King's College London, revolutionised our understanding of food allergy prevention. This landmark research demonstrated that early introduction of peanuts to high-risk infants (between 4-11 months) reduced their risk of developing peanut allergy by an extraordinary 81% compared to those who avoided peanuts.

This study directly challenged previous guidance and has led to a complete reversal in recommendations from health authorities worldwide.

The EAT Study: Broadening the Evidence

Building on the LEAP findings, the Enquiring About Tolerance (EAT) study investigated whether early introduction of multiple allergenic foods could prevent food allergies in the general infant population. The study found that introducing six allergenic foods from three months of age was safe and showed potential benefits for reducing food allergies, particularly when families were able to consistently include these foods in their infant's diet.

Together, these studies strongly suggest that avoiding allergenic foods during infancy may actually increase allergy risk rather than reduce it.

Environmental Pollution

Environmental factors may also play a significant role in the development of allergies:

  • Industrial air pollution
  • Traffic-related air pollution
  • Indoor air pollutants
  • Chemical exposures from household products

These environmental exposures can damage respiratory epithelia, promote inflammation, and potentially alter immune responses, creating conditions favourable to allergic sensitisation.

Vitamin D Revisited: The Latitude Connection

Geographical studies show intriguing patterns: allergy rates generally increase with distance from the equator, suggesting a possible connection to sunlight exposure and vitamin D production. Countries at similar latitudes but with different lifestyle patterns often show different allergy prevalence, highlighting the complexity of this relationship.

Routes of Sensitisation: How Allergies Develop

Recent research has identified different ways allergens can trigger the immune system, helping explain why allergies develop:

Skin Exposure Versus Oral Exposure

Professor Lack's research suggests that the route of exposure matters significantly:

  • Oral exposure to food proteins (eating them) generally leads to tolerance.
  • Skin exposure (especially through broken skin) may promote allergic sensitisation.

This dual-exposure hypothesis helps explain why children with eczema (who have compromised skin barriers) have significantly higher rates of food allergies. Environmental food proteins contacting broken skin may trigger the immune system to develop allergic responses.

Meanwhile, consuming these foods orally can train the immune system to recognise them as harmless. This understanding has profound implications for prevention strategies.

The Way Forward: What Can We Do?

The increasing understanding of allergy development has opened up new possibilities for prevention:

Early Introduction of Allergenic Foods

Based on the LEAP and EAT studies, current recommendations generally encourage:

     
  • Introduction of allergenic foods from around 4-6 months of age
  • Not delaying or avoiding common allergens like peanut, egg, and wheat
  • Continued regular consumption once introduced

These recommendations represent a complete reversal from advice given just a decade ago.

Supporting the Microbiome

Emerging research suggests several approaches to promote a healthy microbiome:

     
  • Avoiding unnecessary antibiotics in pregnancy and early childhood
  • Breastfeeding when possible
  • Including prebiotic and probiotic foods in the diet
  • Exposing children to natural environments and reducing excessive cleanliness

Balanced Nutrition

Dietary modifications that may help include:

     
  • Increasing consumption of fruits, vegetables, and other sources of natural antioxidants
  • Ensuring adequate but not excessive vitamin D levels
  • Balancing omega-3 and omega-6 fatty acid consumption
  • Reducing highly processed food intake

Skin Care Strategies

For children with eczema or dry skin:

     
  • Maintaining skin barrier function through regular moisturising
  • Promptly treating eczema flares to reduce skin barrier compromise
  • Being mindful of environmental food allergen exposure through the skin

Looking Ahead: The Future of Allergy Prevention

Research into allergy prevention continues to evolve rapidly. Ongoing studies are examining:

     
  • Maternal diet during pregnancy and breastfeeding
  • The potential protective effects of specific bacterial strains
  • Early intervention strategies for high-risk infants
  • Environmental modifications to reduce allergic triggers

While we still don't have all the answers, the dramatic shift in our understanding over the past decade offers hope that the rising tide of allergic disease can be turned.

The most significant lesson from recent research is that many of our previous assumptions about allergy prevention were incorrect. Being willing to change approaches based on new evidence is essential to addressing the allergy epidemic effectively.

For parents navigating this complex landscape, consulting with allergy specialists who stay current with rapidly evolving research offers the best guidance for your family's specific situation.

The Bigger Picture: Modern Lifestyle and Immune Health

The rise in allergies appears to be part of a broader pattern of immune dysregulation in developed societies, which also includes increasing rates of autoimmune conditions and certain inflammatory disorders. These trends suggest that aspects of modern Western lifestyles may be fundamentally at odds with our evolved immune functioning.

Understanding these connections may ultimately lead to more comprehensive approaches to immune health that address not just allergies but the broader spectrum of immune-mediated conditions affecting increasing numbers of people worldwide.

What's clear is that the dramatic increase in allergies and asthma reflects complex interactions between our genes and our rapidly changing environment and lifestyle. As research continues to untangle these relationships, we gain valuable insights not just into prevention, but potentially into more effective treatments for those already affected by allergic conditions.

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